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According to figures from theInternational Monetary Fund’s (IMF) October 2026 World Economic Outlook, Algeria ranks behind South Africa, Egypt and Nigeria, while Morocco completes the continent’s five largest economies with a projected GDP of $195.63 billion

The figures put Algeria $136.26 billion ahead of Morocco, highlighting the economic gap between the two North African neighbours, whose growth strategies differ significantly

Algeria’s position is underpinned by its vast oil and natural gas refacturing, aerospace, renewable energy and export-oriented industries

South Africa leads the continental rankings with $489.08 billion, followed by Egypt at $442.89 billion and Nigeria at $386.67 billion

Algeria remains one of Africa’s largest energy producers, with oil and natural gas exports generating a substantial share of government revenue and foreign exchange earnings

The country is also a major supplier of natural gas to European markets, giving it an important position in regional energy trade

However, its dependence on hydrocarbons leaves government finances exposed to fluctuations in global energy prices, even as authorities pursue investments in agriculture, manufacturing and other non-oil sectors

In its September 2026 assessment, the IMF projected Algeria’s economic growth at 3.8% for the year, supported by higher hydrocarbon revenue and public investment

The Fund nevertheless warned that persistent fiscal deficits and rising debt could create medium-term risks, calling for stronger non-hydrocarbon revenue collection and more efficient public spending

Morocco, meanwhile, is expected to record faster economic growth, supported by industrial production, tourism and infrastructure development

Although Morocco remains considerably smaller in GDP terms, its manufacturing sector has attracted major international investments, strengthening its role in automotive production and international supply chains

Morocco has established itself as one of Africa’s major automotive manufacturing centres, attracting investment from international companies including Renault and Stellantis

In July 2025, Stellantis announced a €1.2 billion ($1.4 billion) expansion of its Kenitra factory, aimed at increasing annual production capacity to 535,000 vehicles

Morocco’s automotive exports reached 157 billion dirhams ($17 billion) in 2024, while the country overtook South Africa in passenger car production, although South Africa maintained its lead in total vehicle output

Investment has also expanded into electric vehicle batteries and aerospace, with China’s Gotion High-Tech developing a $1.3 billion battery factory and France’s Safran announcing a €280 million aircraft landing gear facility expected to create nearly 500 jobs

These investments reflect Morocco’s efforts to diversify exports, expand industrial capacity and strengthen its position in global supply chains

While Morocco continues to expand its manufacturing sector, Algeria maintains a substantial lead in economic output, supported by its oil and natural gas industry

Algeria relies heavily on hydrocarbon production and public investment, while Morocco focuses on attracting foreign manufacturers, developing industrial infrastructure and expanding exports

Algeria’s energy regn exchange

However, the IMF has identified economic diversification and fiscal sustainability as priorities for reducing the country’s exposure to fluctuations in global energy prices

Morocco, meanwhile, faces challenges including unemployment, water scarcity and reliance on European markets, leaving parts of its economy exposed to changes in external demand

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